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Strategic Foresight

Prof. Dr. Ulrich Schlie, Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Matthias Herdegen


Strategic Foresight formats are intended to help develop CASSIS into a national strategy center and to sharpen the public's understanding of strategic challenges both analytically and conceptually. In cooperation with political actors, CASSIS is also intended to provide new approaches for a forward-looking design of internal structures of security policy and international relations. The guiding idea is to base strategy on the security policy and geo-economic analyses developed by CASSIS through a comprehensive, cross-cutting understanding of the issues involved. Both geopolitical and geo-economic challenges will continue to increase in the coming years. The strategic challenges posed by the consequences of climate change and its management by society as a whole, the energy supply in a state of global transformation and increasing economic competition are not yet being sufficiently or systematically addressed in Germany today.

Against this background, and in order to strengthen the dialogue, several formats of Strategic Foresight are being developed in cooperation with the science, business and political sectors in order to obtain a comprehensive picture of the risks facing the state by bringing together not only a geostrategic and geo-economic perspective, but also the perspectives of the public and private sector. These reports are intended to enable the Federal Government and the German Bundestag to address risk assessment and cross-cutting security issues within the context of a holistic, networked approach. They are also intended to help identify existing deficits and potentialities and to develop operational proposals for overcoming or exploiting them, thus contributing to a National Strategic Perspective.

The scenario workshop of the "International Security Forum Bonn 2020", the task force "Future of Transatlantic Relations" and the risk picture "Strategic Risk and Prevention Report for Germany in Europe" are part of the Strategic Foresight being developed in cooperation with other national and international, university and non-university research institutions.

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