In the FOCUS article “This Winter, Putin Will Try to Break Ukraine,” published on September 15, 2026, Dr. Iulian Romanyshyn analyzed how Russia is deliberately using the Russian legislative elections on September 20, 2026, to delay negotiations.
Russia’s calculation, he argued, is to prevent a further escalation of sanctions pressure. According to Romanyshyn, signals from Russia that it intends to wait out the elections could contribute to such a delay. However, he considers it wishful thinking that Russia would subsequently be genuinely prepared for serious peace negotiations. Important foreign policy decisions are made independently of the Duma, Romanyshyn noted.