The Iranian regime has completely forfeited its legitimacy by violently suppressing the protests. The latest attacks are comparable to the events of last year: once again, the decision to attack was deliberately made despite ongoing negotiations on Iran's nuclear program.
According to Dr. Joachim Weber, the main problem is that the US and Israel are primarily seeking to destroy Iran's military capabilities without pursuing a viable concept for the period after that. The primary goal is to “clear the field in terms of power politics,” with Israel emerging as the undisputed regional power. Dr. Weber does not see a serious chance for lasting regime change; there is a lack of internal structures that could support such a movement and ensure long-term change. He therefore compares the situation with the intervention in Venezuela, where no lasting political change could be achieved either.
Dr. Weber considers a large-scale war in the Middle East unlikely, as both Iran's proxies and allies are either too weak or unwilling to intervene actively. Ultimately, he believes, Iran's military capabilities will be destroyed – with the country's citizens likely to be the ones who suffer most.