10. March 2026

Dr. Frank Umbach in an interview with n-tv on the situation in Iran Dr. Frank Umbach in an interview with n-tv on the situation in Iran

Dr. Frank Umbach appeared on n-tv on March 7 to give his current assessment of the situation. The interview focused on Iran's remaining power and a forecast of how long the conflict will last.

Dr. Frank Umbach bei n-tv
Dr. Frank Umbach bei n-tv © n-tv
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The US had prepared itself for a prolonged operation in Iran from the outset. This is evident from the increase in production volumes at American arms manufacturers. Nevertheless, ammunition stocks could become a limiting factor for the operation in the short term, according to Dr. Frank Umbach's assessment. Additional production capacity would first have to be built up in order to meet the US Army's high consumption on a permanent basis.

At the same time, a decline in Iran's striking power can be observed. This is due, on the one hand, to the fact that Iran's arsenals are increasingly depleted and, on the other hand, to the fact that launch pads and production lines are increasingly in the crosshairs of American attacks. Nevertheless, Iran still has enough missiles to maintain the threat to the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran's decision to refrain from further attacks against its neighbors does not necessarily mean that the conflict will end soon. Iran currently fears a direct attack by its neighbors and is therefore exercising restraint so as not to open up another front of escalation.

You can watch the entire interview with Dr. Frank Umbach here.

Dr. Frank Umbach is Head of Research at the European Cluster for Climate, Energy, and Resource Security (EUCERS) at the Center for Advanced Security, Strategic and Integration Studies (CASSIS).

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