The closure of the Strait of Hormuz for military exercises with Russia is a threatening gesture, as has been observed for 25 years, according to Dr. Joachim Weber. Although Russia's options are limited by the war in Ukraine, one should not make the mistake of assuming that Russia is incapable of action.
The probability of renewed armed conflict is high. We have now passed the point where the accumulation of military assets can be interpreted solely as a threat. Dr. Joachim Weber sees “Western hubris” in the behavior of the US. It believes that it can use force to compel compliance. This is a misconception that has been confirmed many times in the past. Although a regime can be overthrown, the population is often left behind in civil war. A vision of what comes next is sought in vain.