The US Navy has made it clear that passage through the Strait of Hormuz is too risky. The situation is currently too unclear. It is not clear how many anti-ship missiles Iran has in the region and what condition the units operating them are in. In addition, the alleged ship mines would first have to be defused.
Dr. Joachim Weber considers the deployment of mines to be plausible. However, he emphasized that the rumor alone is already having an effect. Whether Iran is harming itself with the mines depends on the type of mines that have been laid. In the case of firmly anchored mines, Iran could navigate around them and thus export its own oil.
An attack by the US on the island of Charg, the central transshipment point for Iranian oil, is unlikely. The US has not prepared for such an attack and would be taking incalculable risks, as ground troops would encounter both mines and drones.
Overall, the war is already devastating for the global economy. Gulf states are already beginning to fill in oil wells because they can no longer transport the oil. This closes the wells for weeks or months. The entire world population is now paying the price.