According to Dr. Landry Charrier, France's political instability is primarily manifested in the inability to form a stable and sustainable government. In this process, Emmanuel Macron is considered politically 'spent.' This power vacuum and the ongoing crisis particularly benefit the Rassemblement National, led by Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella.
A potential electoral victory for the right in the next presidential election would, according to Charrier, have unforeseeable consequences for Europe and Franco-German relations. France, which has hitherto functioned as a reliable guarantor of stability, threatens to transform into a troublemaker and a divisive force within the EU.
Further developments now depend significantly on two milestones:
The municipal elections next March, which are considered a crucial test of public sentiment.
The 2027 presidential election, which will determine the long-term strategic direction of the country.